Brazil will auction a foreign exchange credit line of up to $4 billion on December 12th.Trump's nominated director of NASA said that his future mission of cooperating with SpaceX would be put on hold. On December 11th, local time, jared Isakman, the director of NASA nominated by US President-elect Trump, said that his future private astronaut mission planned to cooperate with SpaceX of elon musk might be put on hold. Isaac Mann said that the future of the Polaris Project is still a "question mark".The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.
Korean media: Six members of South Korea's ruling party supported the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. According to the East Asia Daily, six members of South Korea's ruling National Power Party supported the impeachment motion against President Yin Xiyue. The report did not quote the source. The opposition party needs at least eight people in the ruling party to vote in favor of the motion. Five members of the National Power Party publicly expressed their support, and one member who asked not to be named hinted to the newspaper that he supported the motion.Tesla's share price has reached a record high after three years, and its market value has increased by 556 billion US dollars in six weeks. Tesla's share price has reached a record high for the first time since November 2021. Investors are optimistic that the company's autonomous driving business will be promoted after President-elect Trump takes office. Tesla shares rose 5.9% to close at $424.77 on Wednesday, and analysts have made positive comments on Tesla's prospects in the past week. Since Trump won the election on November 5, Tesla's share price has soared by 69%, which has greatly increased its market value by more than 556 billion US dollars.Adobe's performance guidance fell less than expected by more than 9% after hours. Adobe gave disappointing performance guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting concerns that this creative software giant may be subverted by emerging startups based on artificial intelligence. The company said in a statement on Wednesday that it expects revenue of about $23.4 billion in the fiscal year ending November 2025. Earnings per share excluding some items are expected to be $20.2-$20.5. Analysts expect an average revenue of $23.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $20.52. Adobe, known for its software for creative professionals, is adding generative AI functions to its applications, such as embedding its proprietary model Firefly into products such as Photoshop. Adobe released an AI tool for making videos at the annual user conference in October, which has been embedded in the editing application Premiere and is gradually being promoted to the public. Adobe shares fell more than 9% in after-hours trading.
The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14